美国Eagle Ford页岩油气产量递减规律新认识New Cognition on Shale Oil and Gas Output Successive Decline Pattern in Eagle Ford, US
徐兵祥,白玉湖,陈岭,李彦尊,董志强
摘要(Abstract):
页岩油气井生产通常表现出初期递减速度快、递减指数大于1的"非常规"递减特征,递减规律的认识也从最初的Arp’s双曲递减、到之后的Arp’s修改双曲递减、幂律指数递减、SEDM、Duong递减等,至今没有统一观点,尤其是中后期产量递减,目前认识尚不清楚。以美国Eagle Ford某页岩挥发油区块为例,研究了页岩油气中长期产量递减规律,分析了油气递减率和递减指数变化特征,结果表明:20a生产周期内该区页岩油气生产满足双曲递减规律;研究区产油量首年递减率为65%,产气量为42%,生产气油比逐年升高;早期生产历史递减指数大于1,但随时间推移,递减指数有减小趋势,目前全区分析的油气递减指数分别为0.59和0.55。敏感研究表明:递减指数变化规律受储层物性影响较大,受流体性质影响较小。建议对于生产历史较短的页岩油气井,运用递减分析方法时应考虑后期递减指数的变化,拟合时不应拘泥于递减指数大于1,应根据实际情况在合理范围内调整变化,以提高后期产量预测精度。
关键词(KeyWords): Eagle Ford;页岩油气;产量;递减规律;递减率;递减指数
基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划项目“页岩气资源勘查、地质评价与开发过程关键技术标准研究”(2018YFF0213802)
作者(Author): 徐兵祥,白玉湖,陈岭,李彦尊,董志强
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